Ecological Crisis Nonlinearity

Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques

2019, Volume 7, Issue 4, Pages: 818-822

J. Environ. Treat. Tech.

ISSN: 2309-1185

Journal weblink: http://www.jett.dormaj.com

Ecological Crisis Nonlinearity

Oksana E. Savenko *, Azadi T. Ragimov , Aleksey V. Kurakin , Tatyana V. Kashirina , Larisa I.

Ovchinnikova , Olga Yu. Senatorova , Evgeniy I. Goncharov , Irina V. Leusenko

Department of Private Law, Kutafin Moscow State Law University, Moscow, Russia

North-Caucasian Institute (Branch), All-Russian State University of Justice (RPA of the Ministry of Justice or Russia), Makhachkala, Russia

Department of Legal Regulation of Economic Activity, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia

Department of International Relations, Diplomatic Academy of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Moscow, Russia

Department of Legal Regulation of Economic Activity, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia

Department of Psychological and Pedagogical and Medical Support of Activity of Law-Enforcement Bodies, All-Russian Institute of Advanced

Training of Employees of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia

Rostov Institute (Branch), All-Russian State University of Justice (RPA of the Ministry of Justice or Russia), Rostov on Don, Russia

Received: 04/05/2019

Accepted: 01/10/2019

Published: 30/02/2020

Abstract

The relevance of the study is due to the phenomenon of nonlinearity in the structure and content of the ecological crisis,

determined by the impact of scientific and technical achievements of civilization. The nonlinearity of the ecological crisis determines

the restructuring of the mass consciousness negative and sometimes even extremist attitude to the population of the developing

countries, which are included in the category of the main cause of the crisis. For the first time, in the research, the substantiation of

value regulators of nonlinearity of ecological crisis as the main factor of humanitarian approach to demography quality management

is carried out as an independent scientific direction. With the help of the leading method of research - socio-philosophical

systematization, the theoretical and methodical approach of value regulators’ use of the ecological crisis nonlinearity in the

management of demography quality is justified. Theoretical substantiation of value rules of the ecological crisis nonlinearity,

determining humanitarian approaches to quality management demographics is made. In this regard, the study reveals the structure

and content of value regulators of ecological crisis nonlinearity in the modern world; the relationship of demographic trends with the

emergence and expansion of the ecological crisis is established. Based on the results of the study, the humanitarian approach of

demography quality management is justified and the effectiveness of value regulators of the ecological crisis nonlinearity in the

management of this process is proved. The materials of the article are of theoretical and practical importance for the development of

humanitarian models for the transformation of the structure and content of modern civilization population, as well as for the

implementation of humanitarian projects to overcome the environmental crisis in developing countries.

Keywords: Ecological crisis, Environment, Humanitarian approaches, Demographics quality control

shamans, sorcerers, herbalism and other forms of archaic

Introduction

nature (5, 13). It is proved that the greatest damage to human

health and, accordingly, nature is caused by chemicals used

in agricultural production, extraction and combustion of

natural hydrocarbons as fuel for cars and enterprises, energy

and heat supply and other attributes of modern technocratic

civilization (14, 19). It is established that environmental

problems in many parts of the world, pollution and excessive

consumption of natural resources, the presence of hot

ecological spots, unrest over climate change quite naturally

give rise to assumptions about the global environmental

crisis, the possible collapse of our civilization, the possible

death of humanity and even the biosphere (6, 11). The

increase in the population of the Earth (7) is a priori

attributed to the root causes of the observed negative

Human intelligence has created a new technocratic world,

ruling over nature and populated by productions and

inventions, which with its large-scale technocratic activity

began to change the human environment. In response to this,

the nature of the planet through a complex of nonlinear

relationships activates its impact on man, on his weakest

points. First of all, it is his health. Modern man began to get

sick more often, lose his natural immunity and turn into a

being completely dependent on the environment: faith in

Corresponding author: Oksana E. Savenko, Department of

Private Law, Kutafin Moscow State Law University,

Moscow, Russia. E-mail: Oksana.savenko.8012@mail.ru.

818

Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques

2019, Volume 7, Issue 4, Pages: 818-822

processes. To date, we can confidently state that the

exponential growth of the planet's population, which

generates its excess, has been replaced by the opposite

problem of depopulation for most developed countries, that

is, the excess of mortality over fertility (14). However, this

tendency is modestly concealed both by politicians of

developed societies and by developers of various

demographic concepts and models. A convenient trend is the

use of quantitative indicators of demography of developing

countries as the dominant negative factor in the expansion of

the environmental crisis (1, 7, 11). It is proved that the

civilization of the XX1 century is going through a period of

demographic transition – the beginning of stabilization

process of the earth's population by the transition of the

population as a whole from exponential growth (demographic

explosion) to depopulation (stabilization and reduction). It is

proven, that the demographic transition is experienced by all

countries, but in different time (18, 19). Analysis of materials

and the relevant correlation coefficient shows that an active

growth of the population continues on the territory of the

States, representing approximately 46% of the earth

population (14). It is established that a high standard of living

results and conclusions of these authors about the nature,

structure, features of population problem’s development, as a

methodological category of society development, constitute

the theoretical and methodical basis for this study. It is

established, in contrast to the majority of works, considering

as the main cause of the ecological crisis the overpopulation

of the planet by people causing irreparable damage to the

environment by their nature-consuming activities, in the

presented works the demographic problem is revealed on the

basis of innovative approaches, representing the process of

the ecological crisis as a natural program of development of

the biosphere, independent of demography, in which the

ecological crisis acts as a buffer cushion between nature and

humanity (14). The authors established the nonlinear nature

of the ecological crisis (13, 14, 19). The works of other

researchers (7, 15) present the results of trends’ analysis in

the formation of public consciousness in relation to

population growth in developing countries outside the Golden

billion. The authors have established a high level of

politicization and manipulation by the political and financial

elites of developed countries, due to the orientation to reduce

the population of developing countries by all possible means.

Along with notable achievements in the study of aspects of

demography quality management in the context of the

ecological crisis expansion, the resuscitation of behavioral in

its essence directions of improving its quality using the

methods of eugenics, transhumanism, aggressive breeding is

alarming (2, 10, 4, 8, 9). These authors make active attempts

to estimate the population of developing countries from the

point of view of usefulness of these people as biological

units, identifying them with Pets (8). Under the quality of

demography, representatives of these areas understand the

liberation of society from large families, disabled people,

chronic patients, the introduction of coupons for the birth of

children, transhumanism (8). In the course of the study,

despite the significant number of monographic and

experimental works and the active interest of modern

specialists in the problems of demography in the context of

the expanding crisis, many topical issues remain open in the

study that require correct, scientifically based solutions.

Among the unsolved problems as an independent scientific

direction, the priority position belongs to the substantiation of

the value regulators of the nonlinearity of the ecological

crisis, as the main factor of the humanitarian approach to the

quality management of demography.

(

high GDP) adversely affects the birth rate and the number of

children per woman. This empirically observed relationship

of demographic transition mechanisms is explained by the

nonlinearity of the ecological crisis, which self-transforms the

presumption of guilt of the anthropogenic factor into the

principle of superposition – the use of several other

subsystems whose behavior is linear (11). The established

trends do not mean the negation of negative human impacts

on nature, but studies have proved the high role of the

transition from exponential growth to depopulation in the

biosphere even before the manifestation of active human

activity. Due to the high buffering and dynamism of the

biosphere, they are still within the range of oscillations of its

parameters. It is assumed that environmental crises are

programmed by the biosphere and are part of this program,

the purpose of nonlinearity (5, 6, 14). The established

methodological trends allow determining the theoretical and

practical feasibility and temporality of science-based factors’

systematization determining the modern processes of

ecological crisis. In the course of the research, the theoretical

substantiation of value regulators of ecological crisis

nonlinearity determining humanitarian approaches to

demography quality management is made. In this regard, the

study reveals the structure and content of value regulators of

ecological crisis nonlinearity in the modern world; establishes

the relationship of demographic trends with the emergence

and expansion of the ecological crisis. Based on the results of

the study, an attempt is made to substantiate the humanitarian

approach to managing the quality of demography and to

prove the effectiveness of value-based regulators of the

environmental crisis nonlinearity in managing this process.

Results and Discussion

.1 The Essence of the Nonlinear Nature of the Ecological

Crisis

The study substantiates the essence of the

phenomenology of the ecological crisis as an objective reality

that continues to expand rapidly, worsening the quality of life

of the population. We identified the main system-forming

factors of the ecological crisis, mathematically proven in the

late twentieth century (18). In mathematical models, the

ecological crisis is analyzed as a super complex system in

which nonlinearity, irreversibility and time are the main

system-forming factors (5). The nonlinearity of the crisis is

focused on future changes that should anticipate the

transformation of the external environment, including

Literature review

The study established that works of well-known

ecologists, philosophers, psychologists, ethno-ecologists are

devoted to the study of the state and development of various

aspects of the demographic problem in the context of the

expansion of the modern ecological crisis (5, 11, 13, 15). The

Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques

2019, Volume 7, Issue 4, Pages: 818-822

demographic, political, legal, educational, cultural and other

social structures.

According to the available forecasts, it is expected to stabilize

the population of the earth by the end of the XXI century at

the level of 10-12 billion people (6, 12). At the beginning of

the XX1 century, the population of the earth mainly grows at

the expense of the population of developing countries (15).

How long are the established trends? How long will the

population of the earth increase? What are the reasons for the

established trends? The answer to these questions is the

nonlinearity of ecosystem evolution. It is proved that the

elementary development of ecosystems occurs under the

influence of internal causes (progressive, coherent or

autogenous evolution) or under the influence of external

factors that are sometimes destructive (allogeneic evolution).

The driving force of the autogenous development of

ecosystems is not the confrontation of different species and

individuals, and their ability to mutually beneficial, symbiotic

coexistence in the form of communities adapted to the

conditions of the territory (14). Progressive development of

ecosystems is associated with the reduction in the entropy

production and is expressed by the following patterns:

biomass increases; the ratio of productivity to biomass

reduces; the overall diversity increases; competition reduces;

the integrity of the system and closure of the biogenic cycle

of substances increases; the production of mort mass reduces

Nonlinearity is the determining vector of their changes in

real time (19). It is proved that the exponential growth of the

world demography now leads to the exhaustion of the

physical capabilities of the earth (17, 16). Because of

intensive nature consumption activity of the annually

increasing population of the earth, there are changes in the

composition of water and air of the planet, there are

emergency man-made situations, adverse climate changes,

earthquakes, natural disasters, fires, floods, etc. All this is

proof of the impending global environmental catastrophe. In

this regard, specialists – futurists developed three scenarios of

the disaster:



First scenario. Planetary catastrophe with the

destruction of the entire existing life support system;

Second scenario. Change of habitat. Man in the



modern image will cease to exist. What will it be? One can

only dream;



Third scenario. Humanity manages to create new

mechanisms of life activity, restore nature and interact

harmoniously with it, taking into account past mistakes (14).

The great viability of the third scenario as the most

corresponding to the value regulators of the nonlinearity of

the ecological crisis is proved. It is established that the

coevolution of the biosphere and human civilization is

currently based on the structure of nonlinear development,

which explains the nature of global processes. Man, like any

biological species, changes ecosystems, adapts them

according to their natural needs. In this sense, the

anthropogenic factor in the biosphere cannot be considered as

an alien (allogeneic) factor, since man himself is a part of

nature. It is quite natural that any dominant species

significantly changes the appearance of its habitat. Humanity

has transformed the face of the Earth, and there is nothing

unusual in it: so the dinosaurs at the time created a unique

picture of the Jurassic period. As any system, the modern

biosphere and the civilization interconnected with it are

changing, evolving, and the speed of evolution and direction

of movement are determined by nature itself (14).

(

14). Moreover, the process of succession is natural by itself,

that is, the change of stages of ecosystem development. In the

early stages of development, pioneer species dominate – very

hard adopted to the environment, low competitive with high

reproductive capacity (r-strategists, or eksplerents, not

differing by much care of offspring). In evolution’s mature

stages the successional species dominate, the most adapted to

the environment, highly competitive, with lower fertility, but

taking great care of the offspring (K-strategy, or violents).

Progressive (nonlinear) evolution is replaced by periods of

incoherent (allogeneic) development: the great extinctions,

geo-biological crises caused by natural disasters, in particular

the drift of the continents (the removal of biogeographical

barriers while merger) and cosmic catastrophe. In such

periods, the above patterns are violated; there is a sharp

reduction in species diversity, the change of dominant

species. Accordingly, the strategy of populations and the

nature of selection are reconstructed, and this in turn leads to

changes at the genetic level, to a new round of speciation (11,

3.2 Demographic Trends that Determine the Emergence

and Expansion of the Environmental Crisis

13, 14). In the process of comparing the theoretical findings

It is proved that the population of the earth during the last

thousand years has greatly increased. It was found that only

in the twentieth century it increased almost 4 times (from

and empirical data, an idea of the nature of modern global

processes is formed: 1) the environmental crisis is nonlinear;

2) the crisis phenomena reflect the local character necessary

1.65 to 6.06 billion), which corresponds to the demographic

for the progressive development of the biosphere.

explosion. On the contemporary interval, temporal indices of

population size correspond to the stage of saturation (12, 14,

3.3 The Efficiency of Value Regulative of Nonlinearity of

). This trend shows that modern people live in a period of

the Ecological Crisis in the Quality Control of

Demographics

Value -based regulative is guiding factor that bring order,

regularity in any process, phenomenon (12).

Based on the status of the knowledge on the nonlinearity

of the ecological crisis, alternative positions on this issue, in

the course of the study an attempt was made to classify value

demographic transition – the initial stage of the process of

population stabilization, the process of transition of the earth

population as a whole from exponential growth (demographic

explosion) to stabilization and reduction (depopulation). The

demographic transition has been experienced by all countries,

only at different times. Developed countries were the first to

enter the demographic transition. In developing countries as a

whole, the decline in population growth did not begin until

after 2000. It was found that the annual growth of the world

population decreased from 1.7 % in 1987 to 1.1 % in 2007.

based crisis regulators focused on redefining the process of

quality control of demographics. It is proved that the origins

of the global ecological crisis are rooted in the regulatory

Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques

2019, Volume 7, Issue 4, Pages: 818-822

attitudes of the General culture to domination, management,

control, determining the orientation of specific activity-based

structures formed in modern civilization since the New time



Introduction of a differentiated tax on childlessness

for women from18—25 years old and men from 20-40 years.

Age groups can be defined by other parameters. In this case,

the population of women of this age group is due to

biological reasons: the birth of children under 18 years — bad

for the health of women, and after 25 — dangerous to the

health of the child. Men are not so strictly limited by biology.

However, here it is necessary to take into account social

factors: the father of the family, as a rule, has the main

burden on the material support of the family and offspring.

Therefore, a man before the age of majority of children

should not reach retirement age.

(

5). Such orientations require consistent adherence to the

principle of superposition and hierarchical subordination,

asserting the socio-management system of modern societies

with a rigidly organized, branched bureaucratic organization

(

11, 5, 15). These attitudes led the developed techno genic

civilization to discoveries and achievements in the spheres of

activity and at the same time to global defeats in the

ecological sphere. It is established that the opposition of man

and nature, the primacy of active-transformative attitude to

nature, the emphasis on human innovation as a fundamental

value, characterize the current society behavioral paradigm,

in the existing regulations that determine the nature of

priorities in the development of human activity. In the context

of such representations, the whole complex of relations goal-

means-result of activity is rationalized (19). It is proved that

in modern conditions the exhaustion of these approaches for

the further development of demography does not require

detailed argument. The idea that the present is a time of

search for cooperation between not only people, but also the

establishment of ways of peaceful dialogue between the

population and the environment, crisis management is

becoming increasingly widely and in different manifestations

The role of men in the upbringing of children should also

be taken into account. Therefore, too much difference in

years between fathers and children is not desirable, because

in this case, for the elderly is useless gratitude of children,

and for children help from fathers. At the same time, there

should not be too much closeness in age. On the one hand,

children feel less respect for young fathers; on the other hand,

there are many reasons for conflicts in the home (8).

Conclusions

The results of the study confirm the theoretical and

practical significance of the phenomenology study of the

ecological crisis nonlinearity as a condition of demography

quality management. With the help of socio-philosophical

systematization - the leading method of research, the

substantiation of the theoretical and methodical approach to

the use of value regulators of the ecological crisis

nonlinearity in the management of the quality of demography

is made. The priorities of valuable regulators of the

ecological crisis non-linearity as the main factor of the

humanitarian approach to quality management demography

are established and the structure of value regulators of the

ecological crisis non-linearity is justified, determining

(

11). Currently,

new value-normative attitude of

demography quality management is being formed, which

comes from the primacy of human values in interpersonal

relations and in relations with nature. The relationship of this

orientation with the improvement of demography quality–

vital problem of civilization is obvious. According to leading

experts (5, 7, 11, 13, 15, 18, 19) in the creation of new

relations of the population with the environment, in

overcoming its alienation from nature, a special place is

occupied by the priorities of value regulators of the

nonlinearity of the ecological crisis as a condition for

managing the quality of demography:

humanitarian

approaches

demography

quality

management. The study reveals the structure and content of

value regulators of ecological crisis nonlinearity in the

modern world; the interrelation of demographic trends with

the emergence and expansion of the ecological crisis is



Transition from strategies of unlimited material

production and consumption, unlimited economic growth to

ideas about the limits of growth of these strategies;



Transition from ecological expansion of nature to

harmonization of the principles of demographic containment

established.

Based on the results of the study, the

humanitarian approach of demography quality management is

justified and the effectiveness of value regulators of the

ecological crisis nonlinearity in the management of this

process is proved. The study does not exhaust all aspects of

the problem. A promising task of further research is to

substantiate theoretical and methodical approaches to the

development of innovative models to improve the quality of

demography in the regions affected by environmental

disasters.

and prohibition in production and consumption;



Transition from quantitative demographic indicators

to qualitative indicators that determine stability, equilibrium,

sustainable development, taking into account the limits of

growth in production and consumption;



Transition from modern standards of quality

demography, focused on the happiness of one person, to the

standards of maintaining the environment in a viable state for

all humanity;



Transition from traditional forms of environmental

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