Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques  
2020, Volume 8, Issue 1, Pages: 374-381  
J. Environ. Treat. Tech.  
ISSN: 2309-1185  
Journal web link: http://www.jett.dormaj.com  
Investigation of Meteorological Drought Indices for  
Environmental Assessment of Yesilirmak Region  
1
2
Alyar Boustani *, Asli Ulke  
1
Ph.D. Graduated Student, Civil Engineering Dept., Ondokuz Mayis Univ., Kurupelit Campus, Atakum, Samsun, Turkey  
2
Asst. Prof. Dr., Civil Engineering Dept., Ondokuz Mayis Univ., Kurupelit Campus, Atakum, Samsun, Turkey  
Received: 08/09/2019  
Accepted: 19/12/2019  
Published: 20/02/2020  
Abstract  
Generally, as drought, inadequate rainfall means; the concept of drought is not just about reducing rainfall. When years of humidity in  
an area are lower than average, this is caused by the disruption of our balance between rainfall and evapotranspiration. The reason for droughts  
is not always the same. It is also difficult to estimate the start and end of the drought. Drought, a mysterious pest, has emerged mysteriously,  
showing its effects slowly and it goes on for a long time. In this study, drought analysis of the Yesilirmak River basin area in the Black Sea  
region between 1970 and 2014 was performed. Initially to conduct research, meteorological stations in the basin area that had been collecting  
data for a long time were investigated, required hydro meteorological data have been obtained from the Meteorological Office which is  
calculated accurately based on meteorological drought values. Rainfall and drought performance have been investigated with different  
indices. In this study, monthly precipitation data for inland basin stations, with 7 different meteorological drought indices (PN, DI, RAI, ZSI,  
CZI, MCZI and SPI) on 7 time scales 1,3,6,12,24,36 and 48 are used and so there is a comparison between drought indices and time periods  
and all droughts were also recorded during the study period. Finally, the 12-month SPI index was selected as the best index and time scale  
for the basin and the drought maps for the area were extracted using the SPI index results.  
Keywords: Yesilirmak River Basin, Drought Indices, Meteorological Drought, GIS drought map  
Thus, at the most sensitive time when the plant needs water,  
1
Introduction1  
agricultural drought occurs when the soil does not have enough  
moisture. Agricultural drought, even if the soil depth is rich in  
water, reduces crop yields by a significant percentage. This  
reduction can also reduce the amount of crop and cause a serious  
deterioration by preventing the animals from being properly fed.  
Agricultural drought is a special situation between meteorological  
and hydrological droughts [3,4].  
Although drought is one of the most dangerous natural pests,  
there is still no precise definition of it in world literature. At the  
same time, the effects of drought are becoming more and more  
evident all over the world. Humans generally become aware of  
droughts as water shortages increase [1].  
1
1
.1 Types of drought  
.1.1 Meteorological drought  
1
.1.3 Hydrological drought  
The decrease in precipitation over certain periods of time (at  
Hydraulic drought, which means a decrease in surface and  
least 30 years) relative to its normal values is called  
meteorological drought. The first sign of drought is a decrease in  
rainfall. For this reason, meteorological drought is the first stage  
of drought. Continued meteorological droughts may increase  
rapidly or end abruptly [2]. The drought started with  
meteorological drought and continued with agricultural and  
hydrological droughts, respectively, and ended with famine  
droughts. Figure 1 illustrates this process.  
groundwater, is due to a prolonged decrease in rainfall. In other  
words, with the one-year surface flow lower than its average over  
long years, it can be said that hydrological drought has begun [5].  
Hydrological drought is usually caused by a combination of  
meteorological drought and agricultural drought, which results in  
socio-economic drought [6]. Hydrologic calculations cannot be  
one of the early signs of hydrological drought, when there is a  
decrease in rainfall, a delay in running water, and a decrease in  
water storage reserves. Even after long periods of meteorological  
drought, hydrological droughts can continue [7,8].  
1
.1.2 Agricultural drought  
Agricultural drought, which means the lack of water needed  
by the plant in the soil, is caused by a decrease in water resources.  
Plants need different amounts of water during their growth stages.  
Agricultural drought can also mean the lack of water in the root  
part of the plant, depending on its growth and development needs.  
2
Model Scope  
The Yesilirmak basin, in northern Anatolia, covers the area  
between the waters of the Yesilirmak River and the Black Sea.  
Corresponding author: Alyar Boustani, Ph.D. Graduated Student, Civil Engineering Dept., Ondokuz Mayis Univ., Kurupelit Campus,  
Atakum, Samsun, Turkey. E-mail: alyar_boostani@yahoo.com.  
3
74  
Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques  
2020, Volume 8, Issue 1, Pages: 374-381  
Figure 1: Types of droughts and their effects  
Eastbound with Canik, Giresun, Gumushane, Pulur, Cimen,  
Kizildag, Kose, Tekeli, Yildiz, Camlibel, Akdaglar, Karababa,  
Inegol and a divisive blue line crossing the hot Kunduz Dagi and  
the Black Sea is surrounded. The basin area is approximately  
3
873280 hectares. The basin area is about 5% of Turkey's total  
area and 3% of the total population of Turkey. The basin area of  
Yesilirmak basin area is 39129 sq. Km. The average annual  
rainfall is 646 mm. The average annual water flow is 5.80 cubic  
2
kilometers, and the basin average efficiency is 5.1 liters/s/km  
[9,11]. Within the Yesilirmak River basin are the provinces of  
Tokat, Samsun, Amasya, Corum, Sivas, Yozgat. The settlements  
in the basin area are shown in Figures 2. As can be seen from the  
map, the Yesilirmak River basin area is in neighborhood of the  
Kizilirmak, Euphrates-Tigris,and East and West of Black Sea  
basins.  
Figure 2: Yesilirmak basin area  
3
Research Methodology  
3
.1 Drought indices  
With such a drought index at different time intervals and long  
periods, regional and temporal analyzes can be performed.  
Typically, the time frame used is one month or one year for  
drought analysis. It can be said that monthly time series are more  
suitable for agricultural problem analysis and water supply [10].  
We know that many drought indicators have been created to date.  
There have been many written studies and classification studies  
on these indices, although the indices have been compared to each  
other in order to have a single definition of drought, and there is  
also no single drought index that covers all purposes. The World  
There are indicators that in drought expression accept a  
certain amount of rainfall as a base [1]. An index created for one  
region cannot be used for another, or the research that is being  
done cannot be comparable. For this reason, spatial and temporal  
analyzes cannot be performed with such indices. Each of the  
drought indices is generally evaluated as a review of climate  
change.  
3
75  
Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques  
2020, Volume 8, Issue 1, Pages: 374-381  
Meteorological Organization has suggested that rainfall  
parameters alone or in combination with other meteorological  
R
=
−ꢁ  
R
n
(3)  
parameters  
be  
obtained  
in  
drought  
indices.  
This section explains the indicators selected in the research that  
were the result of previous research.  
In this equation: R  
n
: precipitation data converted to normal,  
3
.2 Percent of normal (PN)  
Percentage of normal precipitation is one of the simplest  
λ
R: observed precipitation data, Indicates the parameter of the  
equation (obtained by trial-error method). The classification of DI  
given in Table 2.  
criteria for precipitation in an area. When it is used for an area or  
season, it is very effective. The percentage of normal precipitation  
as seen in Equation 1-3 is obtained by dividing the actual  
precipitation by the minimum 30-year average of the precipitation  
value and multiplied by 100. The percentage of normal  
precipitation can also be calculated for time scales. Usually these  
time scales can be based on a month that represents a particular  
season rather than a series of months, years, or water years [12].  
Table 2: Classification of DI index  
DI Classification  
Value of DI Index  
Decile number  
Mild drought  
30 - 40  
Fourth  
Semi-severe  
drought  
20 - 30  
10 - 20  
Third  
Second  
First  
Xi  
Severe drought  
PN= X 100  
(1)  
Very severe  
drought  
And less than 10  
In this equation: PN: Normal Precipitation Size, Xi: In a given  
series (month, season, year) of each precipitation value,  
represents the mean X of long years (at least 30 years). In (12,  
3.4 Rainfall Anomaly Index (RAI)  
1
3), the classification of normal precipitation index is proposed in  
Created by Rainfall Anomaly Index [13], it is based on  
calculating precipitation deviation from its original value. For this  
purpose, by calculating the mean of long-run series (p), select the  
10 values that have the most value between time points of the  
Table 1.  
Table 1: Classification of PN Index  
PN Classification  
Value of PN Index  
70 - 80  
work environment and calculate their mean (M) and so on the 10  
values that have the least value. Selection and mean are computed  
Mild drought  
Semi-severe drought  
Severe drought  
(
), after obtaining the data Equations 4 and 5 are used and the  
55 - 70  
index value is obtained. If p> p, the anomaly is positive and the  
index value is calculated by:  
40 - 55  
Very severe drought  
40 and less than  
P−P  
RAI=+3[  
]
(4)  
ꢄ−P  
3
.3 The Decile Index  
The Precipitation Decile Index has been developed by [12] to  
If P <p, the anomaly is negative and the index value will be  
calculated by:  
avoid the disadvantages of the normal precipitation index.  
Precipitation decimals are calculated using real precipitation  
series. Initially, precipitation values (in months or groups of  
months) range from small to large and the cumulative frequency  
distribution is created. This distribution is then divided into decks  
P−P  
X−P  
RAI=-3[  
]
(5)  
The classification of the Rainfall Anomaly Index given in  
Table 3.  
(one-tenths of a dozen), each of which is 10% dry to wet. The first  
sequence has the lowest rainfall group, indicating the driest  
months and the last the wettest months. It is easier to calculate the  
decay method than other indicators, which is why it has been  
chosen as the drought detection method in the Australian drought  
monitoring system [10]. One of the disadvantages of integer  
computation is the need to use long-term recorded meteorological  
data. To calculate the precipitation deck, the following steps are  
performed:  
Table 3: Classification of RAI Index  
RAI Classification  
Value of RAI Index  
(0) ~ (-1.2)  
(-1.2) ~ (-2.1)  
(-2.1) ~ (-3)  
Mild drought  
Semi-severe drought  
Severe drought  
Very severe drought  
And less (-3)  
1
2
-
-
The data is sorted from small to large,  
3
.5 Z-Score Index (ZSI)  
The Z-Score Index calculation method, which is a  
The degree of decay is determined by Equation 2,  
∗(n+ꢁ)  
D
i=  
(2)  
ꢁꢂ  
dimensionless index, uses the original precipitation data. As can  
be seen in Equation 6, the specified time period before the  
precipitation becomes normal distribution is obtained by  
subtracting it from the mean and dividing by the standard  
deviation. The Z-Score Index has standard deviation and standard  
deviation, which means that the standard deviation of the Z-Score  
Index (0) and their standard deviation are equal to (1), high values  
are positive and low values are negative.  
In equation: D  
the number of precipitation data.  
i
: denotes decile to i, i: denotes tenth, n: denotes  
3
4
-
-
On each deck, the rainfall limit is specified,  
Each period is categorized by decks.  
However, given that the precipitation in their general state is  
not proportional to the normal distribution, the precipitation data  
should be converted to the normal distribution. For this purpose  
and for the sake of simplicity, the "Box-Cox" conversion created  
by Box and Cox in 1964 is used.  
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76  
Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques  
2020, Volume 8, Issue 1, Pages: 374-381  
Xi ꢅ X  
(weekly and monthly) are important in terms of agricultural water  
demand and water potential, long-term time series, such as year  
ZSI=  
(6)  
σ
(
12, 24, 36 months) in terms of network water supply, water  
Here:  Precipitation values over time (month, season, or  
resources management and groundwater activities are important.  
The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is computable by  
normal scatter, normal logarithm, and gamma. However, print  
sources have shown that, among the scattering, gamma scattering  
shows the best of the precipitation series. Gamma scattering is  
similar to Equations 12 and 13.  
year), : Mean of all precipitation data over time, σ: Standard  
deviation of all precipitation data over time. The Z-Score Index  
classification is given in Table 4.  
Table 4: Classification OF ZSI Index  
ZSI Classification  
Value of ZSI Index  
xβ  
(12)  
g(x) ꢎ  
α
β Г(ꢏ)  
Mild drought  
(0) ~ (-0.99)  
Here: α> 0 and α: Formal parameter β> 0 and β: Critical  
parameter x> 0 and x: Precipitation, respectively.  
Semi-severe drought  
Severe drought  
(-1) ~ (-1.49)  
(-1.5) ~ (-1.99)  
Г(ꢒ) ꢎ ∫ ydy  
(13)  
Very severe drought  
And less than that (-2)  
Γ (α): is a gamma function. For a station, the Standardized  
Precipitation Index (SPI) needs to provide a probabilistic gamma  
density function for the scattering frequency of the given  
precipitation. The alpha and beta parameters of the gamma  
probability density function are estimated for each station and for  
each time criterion separately. For maximum likelihood solutions,  
the average estimates of α and β are used. α and β are calculated  
as equations 14-16.  
3
.6 China-Z index (CZI)  
The Z-index (CZI) is an index that accepts precipitation data  
matching with the Pearson Type 3 scattering. It has been used  
throughout the country since 1995 to monitor drought conditions  
by the National Climatic Center of China and is calculated as  
shown in Equations 7 and 8.  
4A  
1 ꢇ  ꢖ  
6
Cs  
3
6
Cs  
CZİ =  2 ZSİ ꢇ 1ꢈ - + 6  
ꢒ ꢎ 4A ꢔ1 ꢇ  
(14)  
(7)  
Cs  
Cs  
ꢑ̅  
ꢗ ꢎ  
3
(15)  
j
(X −X)  
j=ꢉ  
=  
(8)  
nσ3  
In this equation: Xj: The amount of precipitation that has  
become normal dispersion over time, n: Sum of time zones, ZSI:  
∑ ꢛn(ꢑ)  
n
ꢘ ꢎ lꢙ(ꢃ) ꢚ  
(16)  
Z-Score Index results,  : Time zones show the skewness  
coefficient of precipitation data.  
Here n represents the number of observations, the parameters  
obtained in Equation 17 being used to create the probability  
function.  
3
.7 China-Z index (CZI) modified  
The modified China-Z index (MCZI) calculations are similar  
∫ xβdx  
(17)  
to the China-Z index (CZI) calculations, with only the mean  
values used in Equations 7 and 8 instead of the mean. The method  
of obtaining the index is described in Equations 9-11.  
G(x) ꢎ ∫ g(x)dx ꢎ  
βαГ(ꢏ)  
When we consider t = x/β, then the gamma function is  
transformed into Equation 18;  
6
Cs  
3
6
퐬  
MCZİ =  2 φ ꢇ 1ꢈ - + ퟔ  
(9)  
Cs  
Cs  
−ꢜ  
G(x) ꢎ  
∫ t ꢐ dt  
(18)  
Г(ꢏ)  
(X −ꢄe)3  
j=ꢉ  
j
=  
(10)  
(11)  
n∗σ3  
Gamma scattering for zero x values is meaningless, however,  
because the precipitation series can have zero values, for zero and  
different from zero scattering, the cumulative probability is  
transformed into Equation 19.  
Xj ꢅ ꢄe  
σ
φ =  
In Equations φ : Standard Variable Me: represents the  
median value of all precipitation over time.  
H(x) ꢎ q ꢇ (1 ꢚ q)G(x)  
(19)  
Here the "q" is a zero probability. If "m" in the precipitation  
series represents zero, it is estimated as q = m/n. The probability  
function H(x) is converted to the Standardized Precipitation Index  
3
.8 Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI)  
In [14], they created the Standardized Precipitation Index  
(SPI) for the purpose of introducing and tracking regional  
(SPI) by a random normal standard with a mean of zero and one  
droughts. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), in  
principle, provides standardized probability of precipitation under  
observation and can be calculated in the required time ranges of  
variance. The value of Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is  
calculated according to H (x) according to Equations 3-20 and 21.  
1
, 3, 6, 9, 12, 24 and 48 months. While short-term timeframes  
3
77  
Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques  
2020, Volume 8, Issue 1, Pages: 374-381  
c+cꢜ+cꢟ  
values are created, the values of ZSI, CZI, MCZI, and SPI, as soon  
as they fall below negative one (-1), we realize that the drought  
has begun. The drought continues until the value of the index  
becomes zero and when it reaches a positive value, the drought is  
over, this begins in the RAI Abnormal Rainfall Index when the  
value drops below-1.2. The time elapsed from the beginning to  
the end of the drought is called the "duration". The magnitude of  
the drought event is called the "width" and "degree" is the  
cumulative name of the index values obtained during the drought  
and calculated according to Equation 24.  
SꢝI ꢎ ꢚ ꢆ t ꢚ ꢁ  
SꢝI ꢎ ꢇ ꢆt ꢚ ꢁ  
3ꢈ  
0 < H(x) ≤ 0.5  
(20)  
(21)  
+ꢠꢜ+ꢠꢜ +ꢠ3ꢜ  
c+cꢜ+cꢟ  
3ꢈ  
0.5 < H(x) < 1.0  
+ꢠꢜ+ꢠꢜ +ꢠ3ꢜ  
The t in these equations is obtained from Equations 22 and  
2
3.  
t ꢎ √lꢙ ꢆ(  
ꢈ  
0 < H(x) ≤ 0.5  
(22)  
(23)  
ꢡ(ꢑ))  
푫풓풐풖품풉풕 풅풆품풓풆풆  
t ꢎ ꢢlꢙ ꢆꢁ  
ꢈ  
0.5 < H(x) < 1.0  
ꢎ ꢚ ꢣ 푰풏풅풆풙 풗풂풍풖풆 (풊)  
(ꢥꢦ)  
−(ꢡ(ꢑ))  
풊ꢤퟏ  
0 1 2 1 2 3  
On the other hand, the values of C , C , C , d , d and d are  
constant throughout the equation and their sizes are as follows;  
The value of the drought power is proportional to the length  
of time the value of the elapsed time is calculated as follows:  
C
0
= 2.515517; C  
1
= 0.802853; C  
2
= 0.010328; d  
1
= 1.432788;  
(
)  퐷  
(25)  
d
2
= 0.189269; d = 0.001308  
3
The return period (L) is the time between two droughts.  
As a result of standardizing the Standardized Precipitation  
Index (SPI) values, within the selected time period, dry periods  
and wet periods are simulated. When a drought is assessed  
according to the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), it is  
interpreted as a "dry period" in the period when the index is  
consistently negative. In fish where the index drops below a  
negative one, the beginning of the drought is considered, and in  
the fish that the index increases positively, the end of the drought  
is considered. Table 5 defines the drought classification according  
to the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) values.  
4 Results  
Changes in monthly precipitation directly affect annual  
averages. On the other hand, there are large differences in mean  
values between years. In Figure 3-5 for the Samsun, Gumushane  
and Sivas Graphic stations, rainfall variations are plotted over  
long years. The graphs show that for 1981, Samsun recorded the  
lowest and highest rainfall with an average of 497 mm and 999  
mm of precipitation, respectively. For Gomushane also showed  
the lowest and highest rainfall in 1988 with an average of 651 mm  
and 1994 with 311 mm, while May was the month with the  
highest rainfall of the year with 142 mm of precipitation falls  
within the driest month. The highest and lowest average annual  
precipitation, respectively, was found in the Sivas data of 2012  
with 587 and 1973 with 285 mm of precipitation. The least  
amount of rainfall occurs in August in all regions, with 6.1 mm of  
rainfall at Tokat Station in August, with the highest amount of  
rainfall with 170.2 mm at Giresun Station and October. When the  
stations are checked, October and April are the most productive  
months, respectively, and July and August are the least humid  
months. Giresun, on the other hand, is designated as the most  
abundant station with an annual rainfall of 1267.3 mm.  
Table 5: Classification of SPI Index  
SPI Classification  
Mild drought  
Value of SPI Index  
(0) ~ (-0.99)  
Semi-severe drought  
Severe drought  
(-1) ~ (-1.49)  
(-1.5) ~ (-1.99)  
Very severe drought  
And less than that (-2)  
3
.9 Drought quantities  
To quantify, track and interpret the drought, some quantities  
need to be analyzed. Among these quantities can be severity,  
duration (D), degree (M: magnitude), power (I: intensity) and  
return duration (L: length). In a series of times when drought  
3
78  
Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques  
2020, Volume 8, Issue 1, Pages: 374-381  
Figure 3: Total changes in annual rainfall in Samsun  
Figure 4: Total changes in annual rainfall in Gumushane  
Figure 5: Total changes in annual rainfall in Sivas  
4
.1 Results of Precipitation Indicators  
In 19 stations studied within this study, using 7 rainfall and  
Table 7: Correlation Coefficient for Gumushane Station (1970-2014)  
heat data over a 45 years period, 7 indices at 7 different time  
points were investigated. As a result of this analysis all the dry  
periods and duration and severity of these droughts have been  
determined. In this study, not only the Yesilirmak basin stations  
were used, but also some of the Black Sea coastal strip stations  
such as Sinap, Unye, Ordu, Giresun and Trabzon. The reason is  
when we look at the drought in the Yesilirmak basin by looking  
around it, we see the whole together. Based on the findings, it has  
been determined that droughts with similar intensity have  
occurred throughout the basin area at similar intervals. Tables 6-  
ZSI  
1
CZI  
0.97  
1
0.99  
0.95  
0.98  
0.96  
MCZI  
0.97  
0.99  
1
0.94  
0.98  
0.95  
SPI  
0.94  
0.95  
0.94  
1
RAI  
0.92  
0.98  
0.98  
0.96  
1
DI  
0.89  
0.96  
0.95  
0.93  
0.96  
1
ZSI  
CZI  
MCZI  
SPI  
RAI  
DI  
0.97  
0.97  
0.94  
0.92  
0.89  
0.96  
0.93  
0.96  
Table 8: Correlation Coefficient for Sivas Station (1970-2014)  
ZSI  
1
CZI  
0.99  
1
0.99  
0.98  
0.98  
0.93  
MCZI  
0.99  
0.99  
1
0.98  
0.98  
0.93  
SPI  
0.99  
0.98  
0.98  
1
RAI  
0.99  
0.98  
0.98  
0.99  
1
DI  
0.93  
0.93  
0.93  
0.91  
0.91  
1
ZSI  
CZI  
MCZI  
SPI  
RAI  
DI  
8
, show the correlations matrices prepared for the Samsun,  
0.99  
0.99  
0.99  
0.99  
0.93  
Gumushane and Sivas stations, respectively.  
Table 6: Correlation Coefficient for Samsun Station (1970-2014)  
ZSI  
1
CZI  
0.97  
1
0.99  
0.95  
0.98  
0.96  
MCZI  
0.97  
0.99  
1
0.94  
0.98  
0.95  
SPI  
0.94  
0.95  
0.94  
1
RAI  
0.92  
0.98  
0.98  
0.96  
1
DI  
0.89  
0.96  
0.95  
0.93  
0.96  
1
0.99  
0.91  
ZSI  
CZI  
MCZI  
SPI  
RAI  
DI  
0.91  
0.97  
0.97  
0.94  
0.92  
0.89  
In the tables for each indicator at seven time points, the  
droughts are reviewed and the longest and longest are identified,  
with the drought start and end values given. While the degree of  
drought is obtained by adding up the index values during this  
period, the power is also obtained by dividing the degree of  
0.96  
0.93  
0.96  
3
79  
Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques  
2020, Volume 8, Issue 1, Pages: 374-381  
drought by the duration of the drought. It is thus seen that both  
the 3-station indices selected as models and the indices that have  
been in the basin area are or are in complete harmony. All results  
are increasing with increasing intervals, duration and degree of  
drought.  
identified. As the maps show, the drainage over the entire basin  
area during 1974, 2001 and 2014 was severe and in 2010 was the  
45th most water year in the study area. A closer look at the maps  
reveals that the Yesilirmak River basin has had more and more  
droughts than the Black Sea coastline. Figure 6 demonstrates the  
drought maps for mentioned years. By aggregating 45-year maps,  
the droughts in the Yesilirmak basin area and the Black Sea  
coastal area were mostly dry and moderate water and it also  
indicates that the region has had a moderate climate except for  
certain years.  
4
.2 Drought maps  
With the maps prepared, the dry and blue zones are visible in  
a given year, on the other hand, with the accumulation of all maps  
in the 45 years studied, the dry years of the basin area are  
A) Years of severe drought  
B) Watery years  
Figure 6: Comparison of drought maps for drought and watery years  
years of 1974, 2001 and 2014, with severe droughts, 2010 was the  
5th most probable year in the basin area. It is recommended that  
5
Conclusion  
4
In this study, the drought model trend in the Yesilirmak area  
further research be carried out on agricultural and hydrological  
drought. Indicators can be found from different value sources and  
they can be used for drought analysis. Different modeling  
methods such as ANFIS or neural network can also be assisted  
and comparisons can be made between the models while  
improving the models developed in this study. Drought analysis  
and drought maps prepared for each individual basin area are  
important for the preparation of practical basin maps by the  
Department of Water and the Ministry of Environment. In terms  
of integrated management of basin continuity, drought analysis  
due to climate change in the basin area will be possible by further  
determining existing water potentials.  
was calculated by examining 7 different meteorological drought  
indices that require precipitation data (PN, DI, RAI, ZSI, CZI,  
MCZI, and SPI) and drought quantities (severity, duration, degree  
and power) have been investigated. By comparing the droughts  
within the Yesilirmak River Basin and the Black Sea coastal area,  
it was found that severe droughts have occurred over the years in  
both parts. In that sense there is a kind of identity between the  
basin and the beach but between the droughts in the interior of the  
basin area, while the worst of them were -1.88 and -1.89  
respectively, on the Black Sea coast these values were -0.26 and  
-
1.9, respectively. In summary, the droughts in the interior areas  
have been more severe and more severe. By evaluating all  
workplace drought maps, droughts have been identified for 45  
years. As shown in the maps throughout the basin area during the  
3
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Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques  
2020, Volume 8, Issue 1, Pages: 374-381  
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